Biweekly links for 10/09/2009

  • Remix of Out of Control
    • Wonderful: someone has taken Kevin Kelly’s book “Out of Control” and done a substantive remix. I think the original book is an extraordinary work of prophecy, but also agree with the person doing the remix: the original is long-winded and lacks focus. This remix looks to solve those problems.
  • The Oldest Living Things in the World
    • Rachel Sussman’s excellent blog describing her travels around the world to find the oldest living things in the world.
  • What Do Mathematicians Need to Know About Blogging? II | The n-Category Café
    • Nice short piece by John Baez on mathematics and blogging.
  • The best Halloween trick ever
    • “I grew up in a college town, and one Halloween our doorbell rang and we opened the door expecting to see trickortreaters– but what was in front of our open door–was another door! Like, a full-on wooden door, that had a sign that said “Please knock.” So we did, and the door swung open to reveal a bunch of college dudes dressed as really old grandmothers, curlers in their hair, etc, who proceeded to coo over our “costumes” and tell us we were “such cute trick or treaters!” One even pinched my cheek. Then THEY gave US candy, closed their door, picked it up and walked to the next house.”
  • Twitter Data Analysis: An Investor’s Perspective
    • “# Twitter’s user growth is no longer accelerating. The rate of new user acquisition has plateaued at around 8 million per month.
      # Over 14% of users don’t have a single follower, and over 75% of users have 10 or fewer followers.
      # 38% of users have never sent a single tweet, and over 75% of users have sent fewer than 10 tweets.
      # 1 in 4 registered users tweets in any given month.
      # Once a user has tweeted once, there is a 65% chance that they will tweet again. After that second tweet, however, the chance of a third tweet goes up to 81%.
      # If someone is still tweeting in their second week as a user, it is extremely likely that they will remain on Twitter as a long-term user.
      # Users who joined in more recent months are less likely to stop using the service and more likely to tweet more often than users from the past.”
  • Homicidal somnambulism: a case report
    • Fascinating: “A case of a homicide and an attempted homicide during presumed sleepwalking is reported in which somnambulism was the legal defense and led to an acquittal. Other possible explanations including complex partial seizures, dissociative state, rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder and volitional waking behavior are discussed. The evidence supporting the probability that this act occurred during an episode of somnambulism and sleep-related confusional arousal is reviewed and weighed.”
  • Social engineering-Knowledge Database
    • “apt-get for hardware… SKDB is a method for sharing hardware over the internet. By “hardware” we mean not just designs for circuit boards, but also biological constructs, scientific instruments, machine tools, nuts and bolts, raw materials, and how to make them. “

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Biweekly links for 10/05/2009

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Biweekly links for 09/28/2009

  • Miniature Pearl
    • Cosma Shalizi on Judea Pearl on causality. Pearl is one of the leading figures in understanding causal inference. When I hear the old line that “correlation doesn’t imply causation” a little voice inside always ask “so what _exactly_ does imply causation?” Pearl seems to understand the answer to that question as well as anyone.

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Biweekly links for 09/25/2009

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There is no single future for scientific journals

A question I sometimes hear which I find odd is “What’s the future of scientific journals?” Often – not always, but often – underlying the question is a presumption that there is a single future for journals. The point of view seems to be that we’ve had journals in the past, and now we have this interesting new medium – the internet – so the big question is how journals are going to evolve, or (if slightly more ambitious) what we’re going to replace them with?

This seems to me a peculiar point of view. The origin of the point of view seems to be the fact that paper is a static, relatively inflexible medium. There’s only a limited number of things you can do with paper and a printing press, so scientific publishing to date has ended up concentrated in just a few forms (journals, monographs, textbooks, and a few others). This monolithic character leads to a presumption that scientific communication will continue to evolve in a monolithic way.

The problem with this point of view is that computers and the network are extraordinarily flexible. If you believe AI enthusiasts, computers will eventually end up smarter than us, along pretty much every axis. Imagine a medium that’s smarter, more flexible, and faster than us. What could it be used to do? Of course, the dreams of the AI enthusiasts are quite some ways off. But even now, the internet is an extraordinarly flexible medium. Paper can’t even begin to compare: we’re talking about a single medium that supports World of Warcraft, Intellipedia (collaborative data sharing for spooks), and flash mobs for pillow fighters. We’re not going to have a single future for scientific journals; asking what THE scientific journal of the future will be makes no more sense than asking a programmer what THE program of the future will be. What we will have instead is an increasing number of ways of sharing scientific information, and, in many cases, of doing science. We’re seeing signs of this fragmentation already, from video journals to slide sharing services to all sorts of databases.

There will, of course, be some concentration in particular formats and platforms. Network effects in science are strong – we don’t make discoveries alone, we make them as part of a larger culture of discovery! – and this will drive the broad adoption of shared platforms (and, for that matter, of open standards). But there’s no reason at all to think that there will be just a single platform or standard, not when there’s so much to be gained from multiple approaches.

I should make it clear that I think journals will play a role in all of this. There’s a great deal to be said for having a narrative to explain a new discovery. But we should expect a gradual proliferation in formats and platforms, and (inevitably) for conventional journal articles to recede to be just one of many ways new science is communicated. If that doesn’t happen, then we’re failing to take proper advantage of this new medium. This is what I think successful scientific publishers will do in the future. They’ll be the ones who create the platforms and standards scientists use to communicate science, and, in many cases, to actually do science. But scientific journals don’t have a single future.

Biweekly links for 09/21/2009

  • Marginal Revolution: How should economists integrate their personal and professional lives?
    • “In many ways the core of blogging is a willingness to apply what you know to every problem you encounter, and see how good a job you can do of it in a more or less integrated fashion.”
  • Who Will Determine Who Pays for Equality in Health Care?
    • “Imagine that someone invented a pill… the Dorian Gray pill, after the Oscar Wilde character. Every day that you take the Dorian Gray, you will not die, get sick, or even age…The catch? A year’s supply costs $150,000.

      Anyone who is able to afford this new treatment can live forever. Certainly, Bill Gates can afford it. Most likely, thousands of upper-income Americans…shell out $150,000 a year for immortality.

      Most Americans, however, would not be so lucky. Because the price of these new pills well exceeds average income, it would be impossible to provide them for everyone, even if all the economy’s resources were devoted to producing Dorian Gray tablets.

      So here is the hard question: How should we, as a society, decide who gets the benefits…? Are we going to be health care egalitarians and try to prohibit Bill Gates from using his wealth to outlive Joe Sixpack? Or are we going to learn to live (and die) with vast differences in health outcomes? Is there a middle way?”

  • Amir Ban on Deep Junior « Combinatorics and more
    • Nice short history of computer chess.
  • Is the Internet melting our brains? | Salon Books
    • Apparently not. Who knew?
  • Astronomy Picture of the Day Aug 4 2009: Discussion
    • “In my opinion, your image also highlighted a relatively new variation of human collective intelligence. APOD is not only a picture web site — its readership define perhaps the most collectively intelligent group of sky enthusiasts in history in terms of identifying sky phenomena. The debate that took place over your image — and several other images as well — was amazing. In my opinion, this power intelligence engine zeroed in on the right answer. And your image has helped measure and calibrate this intelligence. In the future, I hope to write a paper about the powerful collective intelligence that APOD has become, and I hope to use your image — given your permission — as one example.”
  • Greg Kroah Hartman on the Linux Kernel
    • Amazing talk by Greg Kroah Hartman on the development process for the Linux Kernel. The rate of change is unbelievable – thousands of lines of code per day, many commits per hour. Loads of details about the technical and social process. All sorts of fault-tolerance in the social process: if someone disappears, the process still grinds on, and produces a reliable product. Well worth watching.
  • Style Guides for Google-originated Open-source Projects
  • A League ladder of PSI openness? | Government 2.0 Taskforce
    • “Why doesn’t Google report on governments’ preparedness to release data. It could produce a methodology and apply it consistently.” Could also be done by a not-for-profit, in a similar way to the reports issued by, e.g., Human Rights Watch, on human rights around the world.
  • Tetris effect – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
    • “People who play Tetris for a prolonged amount of time may then find themselves thinking about ways different shapes in the real world can fit together, such as the boxes on a supermarket shelf or the buildings on a street.[1] In this sense, the Tetris effect is a form of habit. They might also see images of falling Tetris shapes at the edges of their visual fields or when they close their eyes.[1] In this sense, the Tetris effect is a form of hallucination. They might also dream about falling Tetris shapes when drifting off to sleep.[2] In this sense, the Tetris effect is a form of hypnagogic imagery.”
  • World’s best Tetris player
    • This guy is to Tetris what Tiger Woods is to golf. Skip to 4:40 and watch the pieces go invisible.
  • Science fiction: The stories of now – 16 September 2009 – New Scientist
    • A letter from Virginia Woolf to Olad Stapledon about “Star Maker”: “Dear Mr. Stapledon,

      I would have thanked you for your book before, but I have been very busy and have only just had time to read it. I don’t suppose that I have understood more than a small part – all the same I have understood enough to be greatly interested, and elated too, since sometimes it seems to me that you are grasping ideas that I have tried to express, much more fumblingly, in fiction. But you have gone much further and I can’t help envying you – as one does those who reach what one has aimed at.

      Many thanks for giving me a copy,

      yours sincerely,

      Virginia Woolf”

  • Terry Tao: A speech for the American Academy of Arts and Sciences
    • Terry Tao on how the internet is changing science, especially mathematics.

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Biweekly links for 09/18/2009

  • Bin Laden’s Reading List for Americans – The Lede Blog – NYTimes.com
    • “While Oprah’s seal of approval on a book cover is sought after in America, Osama Bin Laden’s is, to put it mildly, not. On Monday, the authors of three books apparently recommended to American readers by the leader of Al Qaeda in his latest communique might be wondering how one goes about returning an unsolicited endorsement to a shadowy militant who has been in hiding for eight years. “
  • Giles Bowkett: There’s No Such Thing As A Good Client
    • “You don’t want to be in the position of having an idiot boss, quitting your job, working for yourself, and discovering that your new boss is an even bigger idiot.”
  • New paper on “Goal Oriented Communication” « Algorithmic Game Theory
    • “An intriguing paper titled “A Theory of Goal-Oriented Communication” by Oded Goldreich, Brendan Juba, and Madhu Sudan has recently been uploaded to the ECCC, expanding a line of work started by the last two authors here and here. The basic issue studied is how is it possible to effectively communicate without agreeing on a language in advance. The basic result obtained is that, as long as the parties can “sense” whether some progress is made toward their goals, prior agreement about a language is not necessary and a “universal” protocol exists. My nerdier side cannot help but thinking about the application to communicating with an alien species (which I bet the authors did not mention on purpose.)”
  • Post-Medium Publishing
    • Excellent essay on the future of publishing, by Paul Graham.
  • Possible future Polymath projects « Gowers’s Weblog
  • Douglas Adams: How to Stop Worrying and Learn to Love the Internet
    • “people complain that there’s a lot of rubbish online…or that you can’t necessarily trust what you read on the web. Imagine [applying] any of those criticisms to what you hear on the telephone. Of course you can’t ‘trust’ what people tell you on the web anymore than you can ‘trust’ what people tell you on megaphones, postcards or in restaurants… For some batty reason we turn off this natural scepticism when we see things in any medium which require a lot of work or resources to work in, or in which we can’t easily answer back – like newspapers, television or granite. Hence ‘carved in stone.’ What should concern us is not that we can’t take what we read on the internet on trust – of course you can’t, it’s just people talking – but that we ever got into the dangerous habit of believing what we read in the newspapers or saw on the TV… One of the most important things you learn from the internet is that there is no ‘them’ out there. It’s just an awful lot of ‘us’.”
  • [0909.2925] Galaxy Zoo: Exploring the Motivations of Citizen Science Volunteers
    • “The Galaxy Zoo citizen science website invites anyone with an Internet connection to participate in research by classifying galaxies from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey. As of April 2009, more than 200,000 volunteers had made more than 100 million galaxy classifications. In this paper, we present results of a pilot study into the motivations and demographics of Galaxy Zoo volunteers, and define a technique to determine motivations from free responses that can be used in larger multiple-choice surveys with similar populations. Our categories form the basis for a future survey, with the goal of determining the prevalence of each motivation. “
  • Are Your Friends Making You Fat? – NYTimes.com
    • Fascinating discussion of correlations in social networks.
  • Dean Karnazes – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
    • “After [running 50 marathons in 50 days], Karnazes decided to run home to San Francisco from New York City.”
  • The Billion Dollar Gram | Information Is Beautiful
    • Nice visualization of the amounts of money required to do different things.
  • Theory Has Bet On P=NP « Gödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
    • Thoughtful post questioning the conventional wisdom that P is not equal to NP, and the wisdom of completely ignoring the possibility that P = NP.
  • Galaxy Zoo Blog » She’s an Astronomer: Kate Land
    • Lovely quote from one of the Zoo-builders, Kate Land: “The popularity of the site was absolutely heart-warming. I used to get quite emotional reading emails and posts on the forum from zooites who loved the project and were wild about astronomy. So much of an academic’s work can be remote, abstract, and cut off from the ‘real-world’. And it was just brilliant to work on something that touched so many people.”
  • PLoS Biology: Real Lives and White Lies in the Funding of Scientific Research
    • “The peculiar demands of our granting system have favoured an upper class of skilled scientists who know how to raise money for a big group… They have mastered a glass bead game that rewards not only quality and honesty, but also salesmanship and networking.” I agree with much in this article. Some years back I constructed a list of papers I especially admired, and was surprised to discover that with only a few exceptions they were produced from unfunded research. This was sobering, since it suggest that receiving research grants was (at least according to my judgement of scientific quality) anticorrelated with doing work of the highest quality. Grants seem to be good at sustaining an established area, but not very good at all at producing the conceptual innovations that start new subfields.
  • RSS never blocks you or goes down: why social networks need to be decentralized – O’Reilly Radar
    • Broad survey of peer-to-peer services.
  • Fotopedia: Images for Humanity
    • Collaborative photographic encylopedia, with generous licensing.

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Biweekly links for 09/14/2009

  • Paul Buchheit: Evaluating risk and opportunity (as a human)
    • Excellent post from Paul Bucheit, essentially pointing out that (a) it’s often too damn difficult to figure out expected returns from a course of action; (b) we often can get some picture of the tails of the distribution (what’s the best that can happen, what’s the worst); and (c) in iterated situations, we often care a lot more about the tails, anyway. This is an especially valuable heuristic in situations with limited downside. An example that comes to mind is hiring: there is very limited downside in approaching (potential) superstars, and you’re in an iterated situation, so you may as well swing for the fences. Yet most people think about expected value – “he/she would never want to work here”, and so confine themselves to the middle of the Bell curve.
  • I Will Not Read Your Fucking Script
  • The Bio-Economist
    • Survey of the cost of gene sequencing, synthesis etc.
  • Would You Bet Your Life? « Gödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
    • Richard Lipton on how sure people really are that P is not equal to NP. As in, willing to bet money at high odds.
  • Galaxy Zoo Blog » The Hyper-Velocity Stars Project: Serendipity at its Best
    • Hyper-Velocity Stars are stars moving at very high speeds – typically a percent or more the velocity of light – relative to other local stars. This is the story of how the Galaxy Zoo Hyper-Velocity star project started small, and then snowballed, with more and more people getting involved.
  • The Canon of Medicine – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
    • Remarkable 1025 text by Ibn Sina, apparently describing randomized controlled trials, risk factor analysis, and an awe-inspiring range of treatments, diseases, symptoms, methods of surgery and so on.
  • The New Atlantis: Francis Bacon (1627)
    • Fascinating throughout: “We have three that try new experiments, such as themselves think good. These we call Pioneers or Miners.

      “We have three that draw the experiments of the former four into titles and tables, to give the better light for the drawing of observations and axioms out of them. These we call Compilers.

      “We have three that bend themselves, looking into the experiments of their fellows, and cast about how to draw out of them things of use and practise for man’s life, and knowledge… These we call Dowry-men or Benefactors.

      “Then… we have three that take care… to direct new experiments, of a higher light, more penetrating into nature than the former. These we call Lamps.

      “We have three others that do execute the experiments so directed, and report them. These we call Inoculators.

      “Lastly, we have three that raise the former discoveries by experiments into greater observations, axioms, and aphorisms. These we call Interpreters of Nature.”

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Biweekly links for 09/11/2009

  • …My heart’s in Accra » Steven Downes, Anders Sandberg on Cloud Intelligence
  • Anders’ Mad Scientist Page
    • Awesome set of links (many gone, but the titles still amuse): “This page is dedicated to all Seekers of Truth, regardless of how warped the truth may be.”
  • AIP UniPHY
    • Social networking site, aimed at physical scientists.
  • Cathemeral Thinking: What is a magazine?
    • Discussion of what a magazine is from David Harris, the founder of Symmetry magazine. I think the post makes a mistake in conceiving of “the magazine” as some sort of platonic ideal – it’s just a tiny little corner of the enormous space of possible ways of connecting readers and writers. But thought-provoking nonetheless.
  • How all Nigerians Became Scammers. | OoTheNigerian
    • A thoughtful post on modern stereotypes and the damage they can cause. The tune may change but the song remains the same.
  • Open Learning Initiative
  • Semantic Web-related Research using Wikipedia
    • Very little of this actually uses the semantic web in any serious way, but it’s still an interesting list of papers. Lots of articles on automated extraction of information, clustering, topic extraction, recommendation systems, and so on.
  • Eric Schadt – Enlisting Computers to Unravel the True Complexity of Disease – Biography – NYTimes.com
    • New York Times profile of Eric Schadt, and open approaches to innovation in biology. Interesting, although it would have been a lot better with more concrete detail about open innovation.
  • Paul Krugman: How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?
    • Krugman’s version of economic history. I found it informative and stimulating, even if oversimplified in places. Lurking in the background is the question of what it means to understand a phenomenon. The most obvious candidate is the ability to make predictions, but this seems to me to be neither necessary nor sufficient. It’s bothersome that sometimes knowing more actually leads one to make worse predictions.
  • The Open Dinosaur Project
    • An open invitation for people to help construct a database of skeletal measurements for ornithischian dinosaurs. Anyone can help out – they’re trying to do a comprehensive literature survey.
  • Market Design: Federal Judges Law Clerk Hiring
    • Fascinating summary of work on “cheating” (i.e., not obeying prevailing norms) in a market, in this case the hiring of clerks for Federal Judges in the US, as well as many interesting links to other work on the functioning of that market.
  • Nascent: Andrew Savikas visits Nature
    • Timo Hannay’s (head of Nature.com) notes on Andrew Savikas’ (O’Reilly media) talk at Nature. Many fascinating facts: O’Reilly ebooks outsell print by 2:1; ebook sales doubling every 18 months for last 5 years; “free” is much more complicated than you might think; price discrimination as a useful strategy (technically, this is illegal in the US, for reasons I don’t quite get, although there are easy ways around it); nice analogy to the first TV programs being just like radio.
  • The Trouble with Nonprofits (Aaron Swartz’s Raw Thought)
    • I thought this was interesting, and probably contained a kernel of truth: “What distinguishes people who are great at what they do from those who are just mediocre? The answer, it seems, is feedback.” Swartz gives as examples playing chess (rapid incontrovertible feedback) versus making political predictions (slow, vague feedback, easy to discount or ignore). I suspect that what’s going on in the political pundit case is a different kind of feedback, one not based on how correct the pundit is, but rather based on more superficial traits which make a person seem impressive. I wonder to what extent it’s possible to manufacture (and stick to) feedback methods for one’s work?

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